Sunday, June 8, 2025

In case China invades Taiwan, ASML and TSMC have a plan


An invasion of Taiwan by China is a hypothetical that we’ve got mentioned a couple of occasions through the years. One of many large issues if not the most important is that in such an occasion, China would search to take management of TSMC, the world’s largest chip foundry and the corporate accountable for the manufacturing of each single Apple-designed chip. General, TSMC builds 92% of the cutting-edge chips used within the U.S.

A Chinese language take over of TSMC would devastate the U.S. economic system

Not too long ago, U.S. Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo mentioned that ought to China take over TSMC, the U.S. economic system could be devastated. And although TSMC has U.S. services in Arizona it has been constructing, the primary fab will not go surfing till the primary half of subsequent yr and can construct chips utilizing the foundry’s 4nm node which is one era behind the 3nm node out there in Taiwan. Whereas the second Arizona fab will construct chips utilizing the 3nm and 2nm nodes, that facility will not be operational till 2028, and even then it will not have the capability that the fabs in Taiwan have.
Over a yr in the past, Robert O’Brien, former Nationwide Safety Advisor for the Trump administration, hinted that within the occasion that China invades Taiwan, the U.S. navy would bomb TSMC’s services in Taiwan to stop the Chinese language from getting their palms on them. At the moment, this author mentioned, “There could possibly be some plan in place to stop China from taking management of TSMC ought to China act to invade Taiwan. Officers in Taiwan consider that even when China had been to take management of TSMC in an invasion, it could not be capable to function the services.”
Now, such a plan has been disclosed by Bloomberg, citing two sources. ASML, and its largest buyer TSMC, have a option to remotely disable ASML’s cutting-edge chip manufacturing gear if China invades Taiwan. ASML is the Dutch agency that’s the solely firm on the planet to fabricate the intense ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machines utilized by foundries like TSMC to etch circuitry patterns on the silicon wafers that develop into chips. Due to the massive variety of transistors which are used to supply cutting-edge silicon chips, these patterns should be extraordinarily skinny (human hair skinny) and the EUV lithography machines can deal with this process. 
TSMC is ASML’s largest buyer for EUV lithography machines. Every machine prices roughly $217 million. Chinese language foundries are banned from receiving EUV lithography machines though they’re allowed to personal older Deep Ultraviolet (DUV) lithography machines. Sometimes, DUV lithography machines cannot be used to supply chips utilizing a course of node below 7nm though China’s largest foundry, SMIC, is claimed to be engaged on a 5nm chip for Huawei utilizing a DUV lithography machine.

ASML can remotely disable an EUV Lithography machine would would cripple TSMC’s operations

ASML has had talks with the Dutch authorities and advised officers that it may disable its lithography machines remotely. The Netherlands has additionally run simulations of a Chinese language invasion of Taiwan to grasp the dangers.

Talking on situation of anonymity, the aforementioned sources mentioned that ASML, as a part of an everyday replace, can remotely activate a kill-switch. Activating such a change could be one of many ways in which TSMC would make itself non-operable within the occasion of a Chinese language invasion of Taiwan. TSMC Chairman Mark Liu advised CNN in September, “No person can management TSMC by drive. If there’s a navy invasion you’ll render TSMC manufacturing facility non-operable.”

China seeks to develop into self-sufficient in terms of chips which is why U.S. officers had been upset when SMIC was in a position to construct the Kirin 9000s 5G utility processor for the Huawei Mate 60 sequence This was the primary 5G chip that Huawei had entry to since 2020 when the U.S. modified an export rule to stop Huawei from acquiring cutting-edge chips.

Chinese language President Xi Jinping has thought of Taiwan to be a territory of China and has refused to rule out an invasion. A U.S. admiral testified a few months in the past that China is working to get its navy in form for an invasion of Taiwan by 2027.


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